The Food and Drug Administration鈥檚 approval in June of a drug purporting to slow the progression of Alzheimer鈥檚 disease was widely celebrated, but it also touched off alarms. There were worries in the scientific community about the drug鈥檚 mixed results in studies 鈥 the FDA鈥檚 own expert advisory panel was nearly unanimous in its approval. And the annual $56,000 price tag of the infusion drug, Aduhelm, was decried for potentially adding costs in the of dollars to Medicare and Medicaid.
But lost in this discussion is the underlying problem with using the FDA鈥檚 鈥渁ccelerated鈥 pathway to approve drugs for conditions such as Alzheimer鈥檚, a slow, degenerative disease. Though patients will start taking it, if the past is any guide, the world may have to wait many years to find out whether Aduhelm is actually effective 鈥 and may never know for sure.
The accelerated approval process, , is an outgrowth of the HIV/AIDS crisis. The process was designed to approve for sale 鈥 temporarily 鈥 drugs that studies had shown might be promising but that had not yet met the agency鈥檚 gold standard of 鈥渟afe and effective,鈥 in situations where the drug offered potential benefit and where there was no other option.
Unfortunately, the process has too often amounted to a around the agency.
The FDA explained its controversial decision to greenlight the Biogen pharmaceutical company鈥檚 latest product: Families are desperate, and there is no other Alzheimer鈥檚 treatment. Also, importantly, when drugs receive this type of fast-track approval, manufacturers are to do further controlled studies 鈥渢o verify the drug鈥檚 clinical benefit.鈥 If those studies fail 鈥渢o verify clinical benefit, the FDA may鈥 鈥 may 鈥 withdraw them.
But those subsequent studies have often , if they are finished at all. That鈥檚 in part because of the FDA鈥檚 notoriously lax follow-up and in part because drugmakers tend to drag their feet. When the drug is in use and profits are good, why would a manufacturer want to find out that a lucrative blockbuster is a failure?
Historically, so far, of the new drugs that have received accelerated approval treat serious malignancies.
And follow-up studies are far easier to complete when the disease is cancer, not a neurodegenerative disease such as Alzheimer鈥檚. In cancer, 鈥渘o benefit鈥 means tumor progression and death. The mental decline of Alzheimer鈥檚 often takes years and is much harder to measure. So years, possibly decades, later, Aduhelm studies might not yield a clear answer, even if Biogen manages to enroll a significant number of patients in follow-up trials.
Now that Aduhelm is shipping into the marketplace, enrollment in the required follow-up trials is likely to be difficult, if not impossible. If your loved one has Alzheimer鈥檚, with its relentless diminution of mental function, you would want the drug treatment to start right now. How likely would you be to enroll and risk placement in a placebo group?
The FDA gave Biogen nine years for follow-up studies but that the timeline was 鈥渃onservative.鈥
Even when the required additional studies are performed, the FDA historically has been slow to respond to disappointing results.
In a 2015 study of 36 cancer drugs approved by the FDA, ultimately showed evidence of extending life. But making that determination took more than four years, and over that time the drugs had been sold, at a handsome profit, to treat countless patients. Few drugs are removed.
It took 17 years after initial approval via the accelerated process for Mylotarg, a drug to treat a form of leukemia, to be from the market after subsequent trials failed to show clinical benefit and suggested possible harm. (The FDA permitted the drug to be sold at a lower dose, with less toxicity.)
Avastin received fast-track approval as a breast cancer treatment in 2008, but three years later the FDA the approval after studies showed the drug did more harm than good in that use. (It is still approved for other, generally less common cancers.)
In April, it would be a better policeman of cancer drugs that had come to markets via accelerated approval. But time 鈥 as in delays 鈥 means money to drug manufacturers.
A few years ago, when I was writing a book about the business of U.S. medicine, a consultant who had worked with pharmaceutical companies on marketing drug treatments for hemophilia told me the industry referred to that serious bleeding disorder as a 鈥,鈥 since the medicines to treat it can top $1 million a year for a single patient.
Aduhelm, at $56,000 a year, is a relative bargain 鈥 but hemophilia is a rare disease, and Alzheimer鈥檚 is terrifyingly common. Drugs to combat it will be sold and taken. The crucial studies that will define their true benefit will take many years or may never be successfully completed. And from a business perspective, that doesn鈥檛 really matter.
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