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Wednesday, Apr 20 2022

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CDC Creates A Forecasting Center

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says it will be like the National Weather Service for infectious diseases, supplying data to help government officials make better decisions.

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention launched its Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics on Tuesday. The center aims to be like the 鈥淣ational Weather Service for infectious diseases,鈥 helping to guide decision-making at all levels. Data-driven weather forecasts help leaders know when to deploy resources to respond to hurricanes and individuals decide whether they need to bring an umbrella with them when they go out. Similarly, the CDC鈥檚 new disease forecasting center aims to guide decisions about broad public health needs like developing vaccines or deploying antivirals, and helping individuals decide whether it鈥檚 safe for them to go to the movie theater, Dylan George, epidemiologist and director of operations for the new center, said during a call with reporters. (McPhillips, 4/19)

"How do we actually know that we need to start using and developing vaccines? How do we know that we need to deploy different antivirals? How do we know that we need to change our personal behavior when going out to dinner or to a movie? This kind of information that we鈥檙e trying to develop in the forecast would be very much similar to that," Dr. Dylan George, the CFA鈥檚 director for operations, said in a press call. During the first omicron wave, George added, the CFA gave government leaders "several weeks of advanced notice of the timing of the surge." That influenced policies on boosters, travel restrictions, and Covid testing in schools. (Bendix, 4/19)

The center is housed at CDC. Its initial $200 million in funding came from the 2021 coronavirus relief package. The center has awarded $21 million to academic institutions to develop modeling and forecasting methods. (Johnson, 4/19)

This is part of the Morning Briefing, a summary of health policy coverage from major news organizations. Sign up for an email subscription.
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