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Morning Briefing

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Tuesday, Sep 20 2022

Full Issue

Covid Death Rate Too High For Pandemic To Be Over, Fauci Suggests

On Monday, Dr. Anthony Fauci tried to temper President Joe Biden's statement that the pandemic was "over." Fauci also said it was "unlikely" that the United States would be able to eliminate the virus. Other experts noted that some people have a "magical thinking that the only way the pandemic is over is if we reset to what it was like in 2019."

It is unlikely the U.S. will eradicate the coronavirus and a 鈥渟uspicious鈥 new variant, BA 2.75.2, is on the horizon, President Joe Biden鈥檚 chief medical adviser, Anthony Fauci, said Monday during a fireside chat with the Center for Strategic and International Studies. 鈥淲e are not where we need to be if we are going to quote 鈥榣ive with the virus鈥 because we know we are not going to eradicate it,鈥 Fauci said. 鈥淭he next question we ask: 鈥楢re we going to be able to eliminate it from our country or from most of the world?鈥 and the answer is unlikely, because it is highly transmissible and the immunity that鈥檚 induced by vaccine or infection is also transient.鈥 (Garrity, 9/19)

White House officials spent the better part of this year plotting a delicate, step-by-step process they hoped would guide the U.S. out of its pandemic era. One element that was not part of that plan: President Joe Biden just coming out and saying it. ... When the White House reviewed a transcript of his comments after the interview, which was taped earlier in the week, it did not alert its Covid team 鈥 leaving the administration without a coordinated response for the immediate aftermath. (Cancryn and Mahr, 9/19)

Hundreds are still dying each day 鈥

With 400 to 500 Americans still dying every day of Covid-19, President Biden has declared that 鈥渢he pandemic is over.鈥 But don鈥檛 tell that to people like Debra McCoskey-Reisert, whose mother died in early August. Or Ben HsuBorger, who has chronic fatigue syndrome, a condition often brought on by viruses, including the coronavirus. Or Peter W. Goodman, whose wife died on Aug. 17. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not over for me,鈥 said a tearful Mr. Goodman, 76, who is retired after working as a journalism professor at Hofstra University on Long Island. Both he and his wife, Debbie, 70, became sick with Covid-19 last month. He recovered. She did not. (Stolberg, 9/19)

"It鈥檚 likely, when we think of the causes of death in our society, that Covid鈥檚 on the list probably forever,鈥 said Dr. Bob Wachter, the chair of the University of California, San Francisco鈥檚 department of medicine. "Whether we call it a pandemic or not, it鈥檚 still an important threat to people," he added. (Bendix and Pettypiece, 9/20)

Decades of underinvestment in public health information systems has crippled efforts to understand the pandemic, stranding crucial data in incompatible data systems so outmoded that information often must be repeatedly typed in by hand. The data failure, a salient lesson of a pandemic that has killed more than one million Americans, will be expensive and time-consuming to fix. The precise cost in needless illness and death cannot be quantified. The nation鈥檚 comparatively low vaccination rate is clearly a major factor in why the United States has recorded the highest Covid death rate among large, wealthy nations. But federal experts are certain that the lack of comprehensive, timely data has also exacted a heavy toll. (LaFraniere, 9/20)

Also 鈥

Is the Covid-19 pandemic over? President Biden told Scott Pelley of 鈥60 Minutes鈥 it was. The Sunday night interview aired just days after the director-general of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said the end may be in sight 鈥斅爐hough Tedros clearly didn鈥檛 mean it was days away when he predicted it. (Branswell, 9/19)

A disease is endemic when it exists at a baseline, predictable level, and is a constant presence in a population, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The Covid-19 pandemic likely will end up falling into a predictable, more stable pattern and become endemic over time, most infectious disease epidemiologists agree. Determining when exactly a pandemic hits its end often happens in hindsight, public health experts said. (Whyte and Abbott, 9/19)

He鈥檚 right, Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease specialist and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, told Fortune. Because President Biden was speaking of an oft-ignored middle ground called endemicity鈥攁nd it won鈥檛 look anything like pre-pandemic life. Those who are 鈥渦p in arms鈥 about Biden鈥檚 statement are 鈥渃reating a false alternative,鈥 Adalja said. And they鈥檙e afflicted with a 鈥渕agical thinking that the only way the pandemic is over is if we reset to what it was like in 2019,鈥 he added. But, 鈥渋t鈥檚 going to take a toll.鈥 (Prater, 9/20)

This is part of the Morning Briefing, a summary of health policy coverage from major news organizations. Sign up for an email subscription.
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