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Morning Briefing

Summaries of health policy coverage from major news organizations

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Thursday, Jan 28 2021

Full Issue

New Covid Cases On The Decline From Post-Holiday Highs

In other good news, hospitalizations are also down. News outlets report on the possible reasons behind the decreases while experts try to forecast which way the trends will continue.

The U.S. saw further declines in the number of people hospitalized because of Covid-19, while newly reported cases hovered around 150,000 for the third day in a row. Hospitalizations, which totaled 107,444 as of Wednesday, have been on the decline since Jan. 12 when the figure was at 131,326, according to the Covid Tracking Project. The number of people in intensive care units also fell slightly to 20,497. (Hall, 1/28)

New coronavirus infections fell by 16% over the past week 鈥 the third straight week of significant improvement. Yes, but: The U.S. is still averaging roughly 165,000 new cases per day, meaning the virus is still spreading largely unchecked. And the rise of more contagious variants will ensure that Americans鈥 risk remains high. (Baker and Witherspoon, 1/28)

In the span of two weeks, states in the U.S. West pushed down coronavirus case averages by 43%, outstripping the decline in other regions, which all have seen numbers retreat from peaks this month. Almost every state in the West reported cases falling or flat Tuesday, and every region in the country has seen its seven-day average drop at least 20% since Jan. 12, according to data from the Covid Tracking Project. Some states, like California and Oregon, had numbers drop by more than a third in the course of a week. Such improvements inspired California Governor Gavin Newsom to ease social-distancing measures earlier this week. The relaxed policies, combined with more-contagious strains gaining traction in the state, could lay the groundwork for numbers to spike again. (Querolo, 1/27)

KHN: New Covid Cases Plunge 25% Or More As Behavior Changes聽

A dozen states are reporting drops of 25% or more in new covid-19 cases and more than 1,200 counties have seen the same, federal data released Wednesday shows. Experts say the plunge may relate to growing fear of the virus after it reached record-high levels, as well as soaring hopes of getting vaccinated soon. Nationally, new cases have dropped 21% from the prior week, according to Department of Health and Human Services data, reflecting slightly more than 3,000 counties. Corresponding declines in hospitalization and death may take days or weeks to arrive, and the battle against the deadly virus rages on at record levels in many places. (Jewett, 1/28)

In related news 鈥

California鈥檚 decision to lift its stay-at-home order is drawing backlash from health experts and frontline workers who warn that a premature reopening could prolong the crisis and further devastate hard-hit communities. Citing projections that hospital capacity would improve in coming weeks, the governor, Gavin Newsom, announced Monday that he was rescinding the statewide shutdown order. The move returned counties to a tiered system of localized reopenings and allowed certain sectors to partially resume business, including salons, restaurants and churches. (Levin, 1/27)

The number of Los Angeles firefighters testing positive for the coronavirus has dropped significantly since the city fire agency began offering its members vaccinations, Fire Chief Ralph Terrazas said in a memo to firefighters this week. In the memo dated Tuesday and obtained by The Times, Terrazas said the Los Angeles Fire Department has seen a 鈥渟harp decline鈥 in cases since firefighters started getting the shots Dec. 28. A chart included with the memo shows that the LAFD was averaging more than 15 new cases a day before the vaccination program. The number soon plummeted. In the most recent week, the department has averaged fewer than five new cases a day. (Smith and Welsh, 1/27)

The first Monday of 2021, Nancy Blake says, "was the worst day I've ever seen." Blake is the chief nursing officer at Harbor鈥揢niversity of California, Los Angeles, Medical Center. She looked at the intensive care unit, which had twice the number of patients as standard critical care beds. Noncritical patients were lined up in gurneys in the hallways. At other hospitals in the area, ambulances were waiting for eight to 12 hours to move patients into beds. Most of those people had COVID. And still today, Blake continues, 鈥減atients keep coming and keep coming and keep coming.鈥 The staff is keeping up quality care, but she worries there may not be enough hands to take care of all of those who are seriously ill. 鈥淚t鈥檚 been pretty stressful,鈥 she says. Every day she looks at her coworkers and sees 鈥渢he moral distress in the faces.鈥 (Harmon Courage, 1/27)

The United States is projected to聽record聽as many as 514,000 deaths from the coronavirus by Feb. 20 based on the country's current trajectory, the head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said Wednesday. Speaking at the Biden administration's first formal public health briefing on the pandemic, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky said聽the agency predicts the country is on pace for between聽479,000 and 514,000聽COVID-19聽deaths by聽Feb. 20. (Samuels, 1/27)

This is part of the Morning Briefing, a summary of health policy coverage from major news organizations. Sign up for an email subscription.
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